Golden Cross vs Death Cross — How Reliable Are These Signals on NEPSE?

The golden cross correctly flagged Nepal's 2020–21 bull run and the death cross warned of the 2022 crash — but on NEPSE, these signals hit roughly 60% accuracy, are typically 4–8 weeks late, and completely fail in sideways markets driven by NRB policy announcements. This research examines every major crossover event on NEPSE since 2014 and tells you the conditions under which these signals are actually worth acting on.